I have to bounce back from yesterday as it was probably my very worst day ever in NCAA football as a amateur handicapper. I just seemed to get backdoored everywhere. What do I have to do to catch up? Get a couple of more picks today!!
Green Bay (-9.5) at Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay stays winless today against a Packer team that needs to put out their post Brett Favre aggression on someone. Josh Johnson is nowhere near Brett Favre and it will show. The Bucs are 1-8 ATS in their last eight overall and their defense gives up about 29 points per game. Aaron Rodgers carves up the Bucs today and this will get pretty ugly.
Tennessee (+4.5) at San Francisco
Now I’m not saying that the Titans will win 10 games in a row now but I do believe that Vince Young has given them the spark that they needed. I think that we should start seeing the ‘real’ Titans defense take advantage of a always underachieving Alex Smith. Vince Young and Chris Johnson keeps this one close.
Baltimore (+3) at Cincinnati
The Ravens looked like they had took a time machine and arrived back in 2000 as they just intimidated a recently undefeated Denver Broncos team. It’s about that time of the season when it’s time for that defense to really shine and that spells doom for Cedric Benson who rushed for 120 yards in his last game against the Ravens. They are facing a totally different team this time around and the revenge factor is in. Take the Ravens today.
San Diego (+5) at NY Giants
Eli Manning is still in a funk folks and Tom Coughlin is saying that this game is for the season. The smoke and mirrors the Giants offense has been using with Plaxico Burress is starting to come to light. The Chargers have too many playmakers on offense to let this one get out of hand. The Giants defense has looked just terrible in their last three games giving up a average of 37 points per game. The Giants can’t possibly lose 5 in a row can they? Well, let’s just say that they won’t cover.
UPSET OF THE WEEK
Carolina (+12.5) at New Orleans
The Monday Night hangover comes into play here as we might just finally see the Saints’ hiccup game. The Panthers finally streched their legs last week as they got their revenge on the Arizona Cardinals. Just like last week, I am cheering for Jake Delhomme. But then again, with that, I see the Panthers excellent running game keeping Drew Brees off the field. That will keep this game close and the trends go toward the Panthers on this one (Road team is 15-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings, 8-0 ATS int the last 8 in New Orleans and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall). The Panthers will keep this one close.
Houston at Indianapolis over 48
The last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over, nuff said.
Washington at Atlanta under 41
The Redskins don’t score very much but they have a decent defense. The Falcons will run early and often today so expect a grind it out low scoring game today.
This is my comeback for my bad luck yesterday.
Good Luck Everybody.